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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Patriot League Basketball - Week 16 of 17

Loyola-MD What If?

The Loyola-MD Greyhounds What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Loyola-MD plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Loyola-MD What If?

Next Game - Colgate (12‑16)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 6 10 X X X X 1% 17% 29% 22% 21% 9%
Current Standings 5 10 X X X X 1% 10% 20% 18% 26% 26%
Lose Next Game 5 11 X X X X X 2% 13% 16% 31% 38%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario X X X X 1% 17% 29% 22% 21% 9%
Current Standings X X X X 1% 10% 20% 18% 26% 26%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X 2% 13% 16% 31% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Loyola-MD beats Colgate
 Worst Case Scenario
   Colgate beats Loyola-MD
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
3 of 3 100% 8 10 X X X X 5% 70% 23% 2% ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 7 11 X X X X X 7% 49% 30% 13% 1%
1 of 3 33% 6 12 X X X X X X 4% 22% 47% 26%
0 of 3 0% 5 13 X X X X X X X X 18% 82%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament