The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (1‑4) vs American (4‑4) |
21 | Navy Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||
| American Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 25% | ||
| Army (3‑3) vs Colgate (1‑4) |
2 | Army Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Bucknell (4‑3) vs Lehigh (1‑4) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 24% | ||
| Loyola-MD (2‑3) vs Holy Cross (4‑3) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 24% | ||
| Lafayette (2‑4) vs Boston U. (3‑4) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% | ||