The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (5‑12) vs Colgate (6‑11) |
27 | Navy Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% | ||
| Colgate Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 41% | ||
| Holy Cross (10‑7) vs Bucknell (6‑11) |
1 | Holy Cross Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 21% | 35% | ||
| Lafayette (7‑10) vs Army (8‑8) |
1 | Lafayette Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 35% | ||
| Lehigh (6‑9) vs Boston U. (8‑9) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 35% | ||