The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (6‑5) vs Boston U. (4‑6) |
27 | Navy Wins | 21% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| American (7‑4) vs Loyola-MD (4‑6) |
1 | American Wins | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Colgate (6‑4) vs Lafayette (3‑7) |
0 | Colgate Wins | 18% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Army (4‑7) vs Lehigh (3‑7) |
0 | Army Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell (2‑9) vs Holy Cross (4‑6) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||