The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (18‑6) vs American (13‑11) |
6 | Navy Wins | 84% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Wins | 70% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell (8‑15) vs Colgate (14‑10) |
2 | Bucknell Wins | 86% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | 75% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (8‑16) vs Lehigh (10‑14) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | 78% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 78% | 18% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. (9‑15) vs Loyola-MD (9‑15) |
0 | Boston U. Wins | 79% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 78% | 18% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (6‑17) vs Army (10‑14) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army Wins | 79% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||