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Sat Sep 26 11:30 pm

SEC Football - Week 5 of 13

Florida Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Florida Gators are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gators final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Florida Gators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Florida Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Florida Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Florida
(4‑0)

vs
Missouri
(3‑1)
21 Florida Wins 23% 18% 14% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Missouri Wins 9% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Kentucky
(3‑1)

vs
South Carolina
(2‑2)
1 Kentucky Wins 19% 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
South Carolina Wins 18% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Vanderbilt
(3‑1)

vs
Georgia
(4‑0)
1 Vanderbilt Wins 19% 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Wins 19% 15% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St.
(4‑0)

vs
Alabama
(4‑0)
0 Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins 20% 15% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Alabama Wins 19% 16% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Auburn
(3‑1)

vs
Tennessee
(3‑1)
0 Auburn Wins 19% 15% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Tennessee Wins 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arkansas
(2‑2)

vs
Texas A&M
(2‑2)
0 Arkansas Wins 19% 16% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Texas A&M Wins 19% 16% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant