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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

SEC Football - Week 11 of 13

LSU Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the LSU Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LSU Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

LSU Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
LSU Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
LSU
(6‑3)

vs
Texas
(7‑2)
1 LSU Wins <1% 1% 7% 14% 11% 8% 12% 14% 14% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Texas Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 12% 15% 22% 19% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Vanderbilt
(4‑5)

vs
Alabama
(7‑2)
1 Vanderbilt Wins <1% 1% 4% 5% 5% 6% 9% 12% 13% 16% 13% 8% 5% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Alabama Wins <1% <1% 3% 7% 5% 6% 9% 12% 14% 17% 14% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Florida
(5‑4)

vs
Kentucky
(7‑2)
1 Florida Wins <1% 1% 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 10% 14% 20% 15% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Kentucky Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 7% 7% 11% 13% 12% 15% 13% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Texas A&M
(4‑5)

vs
Tennessee
(7‑2)
1 Texas A&M Wins <1% 1% 4% 6% 6% 6% 10% 11% 12% 17% 13% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Tennessee Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 5% 5% 8% 13% 14% 17% 14% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Oklahoma
(5‑4)

vs
Ole Miss
(6‑3)
0 Oklahoma Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 5% 5% 8% 12% 14% 17% 14% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Ole Miss Wins <1% <1% 4% 7% 5% 5% 10% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Arkansas
(3‑6)

vs
South Carolina
(6‑3)
0 Arkansas Wins <1% 1% 4% 7% 5% 8% 12% 14% 13% 13% 10% 6% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
South Carolina Wins <1% 1% 3% 6% 6% 5% 8% 11% 14% 18% 16% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Georgia
(8‑1)

vs
Missouri
(6‑3)
0 Georgia Wins X 1% 3% 7% 5% 6% 9% 12% 14% 17% 12% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Missouri Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 5% 5% 9% 12% 12% 15% 17% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Auburn
(5‑4)

vs
Mississippi St.Miss. St.
(4‑5)
0 Auburn Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 13% 16% 12% 9% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 7% 6% 5% 9% 12% 14% 17% 13% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 5% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 14% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant