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Sat Sep 26 11:30 pm

SEC Football - Week 5 of 13

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - Arkansas (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 1 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 13% 13% 9%
Current Standings 0 2 <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 11% 14% 20%
Lose Next Game 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 12% 16% 28%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
7 of 7 100% 7 2 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 7 86% 6 3 <1% 1% 8% 24% 33% 23% 9% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 7 71% 5 4 X <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 7 57% 4 5 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 9% 23% 31% 24% 10% 2% <1% <1% ^
3 of 7 43% 3 6 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3% <1%
2 of 7 29% 2 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 37% 13%
1 of 7 14% 1 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 25% 71%
0 of 7 0% 0 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant