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Mon Sep 29 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 40

Atalanta What If?

The Atalanta What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atalanta What If?

Next Game - Como (2‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 0 3 12 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 2 0 3 9 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 2 1 3 9 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Atalanta beats Como
 Worst Case Scenario
   Como beats Atalanta
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 35 0 3 108 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 32 3 3 99 96% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 31 4 3 96 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 30 5 3 93 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 29 6 3 90 60% 35% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 28 7 3 87 43% 44% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 27 8 3 84 25% 46% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 26 9 3 81 12% 38% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 25 10 3 78 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 24 11 3 75 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 23 12 3 72 <1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 33 58% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 33 55% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 33 52% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 33 33% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 5% 1% <1%
10 of 33 30% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% <1%
9 of 33 27% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
8 of 33 24% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 18%
7 of 33 21% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 37% 44%
6 of 33 18% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 22% 74%
5 of 33 15% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 92%
0 of 33 0% 2 33 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round