The Bologna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 9 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 9 | 33 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Napoli beats Juventus Bologna beats Empoli Parma beats AC Milan |
Worst Case Scenario Juventus beats Napoli Empoli beats Bologna AC Milan beats Parma |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
18 of 18 | 100% | 26 | 3 | 9 | 87 | 48% | 44% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 25 | 4 | 9 | 84 | 20% | 51% | 27% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 24 | 5 | 9 | 81 | 5% | 35% | 50% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 23 | 6 | 9 | 78 | 1% | 14% | 54% | 30% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 22 | 7 | 9 | 75 | <1% | 3% | 34% | 53% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 18 | 72% | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 13% | 53% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 18 | 67% | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 30% | 46% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 18 | 61% | 19 | 10 | 9 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 36% | 40% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 18 | 56% | 18 | 11 | 9 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 42% | 35% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 18 | 50% | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 45% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
8 of 18 | 44% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 30% | 49% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
7 of 18 | 39% | 15 | 14 | 9 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 44% | 36% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 43% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 13 | 16 | 9 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 37% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 12 | 17 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 34% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 11 | 18 | 9 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 10 | 19 | 9 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 9 | 20 | 9 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 15% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 8 | 21 | 9 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 28% | 64% |