The Bologna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 16 | 4 | 11 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 15 | 4 | 11 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 15 | 5 | 11 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 32% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 18% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Torino beats Lazio Atalanta beats Lazio Bologna beats Napoli |
Worst Case Scenario Lazio beats Torino Lazio beats Atalanta Napoli beats Bologna |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
8 of 8 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 11 | 80 | 10% | 42% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 8 | 88% | 22 | 5 | 11 | 77 | 1% | 13% | 75% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 8 | 75% | 21 | 6 | 11 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 44% | 50% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 8 | 63% | 20 | 7 | 11 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 54% | 34% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 8 | 50% | 19 | 8 | 11 | 68 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 53% | 27% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 8 | 38% | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 44% | 31% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 8 | 25% | 17 | 10 | 11 | 62 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 41% | 38% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 8 | 13% | 16 | 11 | 11 | 59 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 43% | 46% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 8 | 0% | 15 | 12 | 11 | 56 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 71% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |