PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Como What If?

The Como What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Como What If?

Next Game - Juventus (3‑0‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 1 3 12 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 2 1 3 9 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 2 2 3 9 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Como beats Juventus
Worst Case Scenario
   Juventus beats Como
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 34 1 3 105 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 32 3 3 99 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 31 4 3 96 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 30 5 3 93 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 29 6 3 90 69% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 28 7 3 87 49% 41% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 27 8 3 84 30% 46% 21% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 26 9 3 81 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 25 10 3 78 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 24 11 3 75 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 23 12 3 72 <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 32 53% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 27% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% 1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% 1%
9 of 32 28% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 5%
8 of 32 25% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 20%
7 of 32 22% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 51%
6 of 32 19% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 81%
5 of 32 16% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
0 of 32 0% 2 33 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round