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Mon Sep 29 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 40

Fiorentina What If?

The Fiorentina What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fiorentina What If?

Next Game - AS Roma (4‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 2 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 28%
Current Standings 0 2 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 34%
Lose Next Game 0 3 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 36%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 28%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 34%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 36%
Best Case Scenario
   Fiorentina beats AS Roma
 Worst Case Scenario
   AS Roma beats Fiorentina
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 33 2 3 102 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 33 97% 32 3 3 99 95% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 33 94% 31 4 3 96 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 30 5 3 93 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 29 6 3 90 63% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 28 7 3 87 44% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 27 8 3 84 27% 47% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 26 9 3 81 14% 40% 35% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 25 10 3 78 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 24 11 3 75 1% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 23 12 3 72 <1% 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 33 58% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 33 55% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 25% 32% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 25% 32% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 24% 32% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 7% 1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 22% 6% 1%
11 of 33 33% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
10 of 33 30% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 30% 36% 21%
9 of 33 27% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 35% 49%
8 of 33 24% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 77%
7 of 33 21% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
5 of 33 15% 5 30 3 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 33 0% 0 35 3 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round