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Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Internazionale What If?

The Internazionale What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Internazionale What If?

Next Game - AS Roma (5‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 5 2 0 15 28% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 4 2 0 12 25% 16% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 4 3 0 12 21% 16% 13% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 28% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 25% 16% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 21% 16% 13% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Internazionale beats AS Roma
Worst Case Scenario
   AS Roma beats Internazionale
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 36 2 0 108 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 34 4 0 102 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 32 6 0 96 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 31 7 0 93 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 30 8 0 90 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 29 9 0 87 55% 38% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 28 10 0 84 36% 45% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 27 11 0 81 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 26 12 0 78 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 25 13 0 75 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 24 14 0 72 <1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 23 15 0 69 <1% 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 32 50% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 32% 17% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 32% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1%
9 of 32 28% 13 25 0 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
8 of 32 25% 12 26 0 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 6%
7 of 32 22% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 23%
6 of 32 19% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 32% 55%
5 of 32 16% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 84%
0 of 32 0% 4 34 0 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round