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Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Juventus What If?

The Juventus What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Juventus What If?

Next Game - Como (2‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 4 0 3 15 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 3 0 3 12 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 3 1 3 12 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Juventus beats Como
 Worst Case Scenario
   Como beats Juventus
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 35 0 3 108 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 33 2 3 102 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 31 4 3 96 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 30 5 3 93 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 29 6 3 90 65% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 28 7 3 87 47% 43% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 27 8 3 84 29% 48% 21% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 26 9 3 81 14% 41% 34% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 25 10 3 78 6% 28% 40% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 24 11 3 75 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 23 12 3 72 <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 22 13 3 69 <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 2% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 32 50% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1% <1%
9 of 32 28% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
8 of 32 25% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 5%
7 of 32 22% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 35% 21%
6 of 32 19% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 52%
5 of 32 16% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 81%
0 of 32 0% 3 32 3 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round