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Mon Sep 29 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 40

Lazio What If?

The Lazio What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lazio What If?

Next Game - Torino (1‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 3 0 9 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 2 3 0 6 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3%
Lose Next Game 2 4 0 6 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Best Case Scenario
   Lazio beats Torino
 Worst Case Scenario
   Torino beats Lazio
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 35 3 0 105 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 32 6 0 96 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 31 7 0 93 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 30 8 0 90 62% 33% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 29 9 0 87 42% 44% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 28 10 0 84 25% 46% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 27 11 0 81 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 26 12 0 78 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 25 13 0 75 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 24 14 0 72 <1% 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 23 15 0 69 <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 33 58% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 33% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 33 55% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 28% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 27% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1%
11 of 33 33% 13 25 0 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% 1%
10 of 33 30% 12 26 0 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4%
9 of 33 27% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 34% 17%
8 of 33 24% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 36% 44%
7 of 33 21% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 22% 74%
6 of 33 18% 8 30 0 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
5 of 33 15% 7 31 0 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 33 0% 2 36 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round