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Sun Oct 5 5:15 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 40

Lecce What If?

The Lecce What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lecce What If?

Next Game - Sassuolo (3‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 3 2 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 22%
Current Standings 1 3 2 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 26%
Lose Next Game 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 28%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 22%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 26%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 28%
Best Case Scenario
   Lecce beats Sassuolo
Worst Case Scenario
   Sassuolo beats Lecce
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 33 3 2 101 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 31 5 2 95 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 30 6 2 92 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 29 7 2 89 64% 32% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 28 8 2 86 45% 43% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 27 9 2 83 27% 46% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 26 10 2 80 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 25 11 2 77 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 24 12 2 74 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 23 13 2 71 <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 32% 27% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 32 56% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 32 53% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
10 of 32 31% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 8%
9 of 32 28% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 27%
8 of 32 25% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 59%
7 of 32 22% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
5 of 32 16% 6 30 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 1 35 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round