The Most Important Games for the Chattanooga Mocs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mocs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chattanooga Mocs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chattanooga Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| ChattanoogaChattan. (10‑14) vs Citadel (8‑16) |
26 | ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 10% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Citadel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 2% | ||
| Wofford (16‑8) vs Western Carolina (8‑14) |
5 | Wofford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 1% | ||
| Furman (16‑8) vs N.C. Greensboro (9‑15) |
5 | Furman Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Mercer (15‑9) vs Samford (12‑12) |
4 | Mercer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Samford Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 1% | ||
| VMI (6‑18) vs E. Tennessee St. (17‑7) |
1 | VMI Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 1% | ||