The Most Important Games for the Citadel Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Citadel Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Citadel Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Citadel (3‑13) vs Western Carolina (5‑9) |
2 | Citadel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 59% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 22% | 64% | ||
| Furman (11‑5) vs VMI (6‑10) |
0 | Furman Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 24% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 59% | ||
| VMI Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 22% | 62% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (11‑5) vs N.C. Greensboro (6‑10) |
0 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 59% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 24% | 60% | ||
| Wofford (11‑4) vs Mercer (9‑7) |
0 | Wofford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 59% | ||
| Mercer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 23% | 60% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. (6‑10) vs Samford (9‑7) |
0 | ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 59% | ||
| Samford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 24% | 58% | ||