The Most Important Games for the Citadel Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Citadel Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Citadel Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Citadel (2‑7) vs E. Tennessee St. (7‑2) |
8 | Citadel Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 40% | ||
| Wofford (6‑3) vs Western Carolina (4‑5) |
0 | Wofford Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 40% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro (2‑8) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (4‑5) |
0 | N.C. Greensboro Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 39% | ||
| VMI (4‑7) vs Samford (4‑6) |
0 | VMI Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% | ||
| Samford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 39% | ||
| Mercer (6‑2) vs Furman (6‑4) |
0 | Mercer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 38% | ||
| Furman Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 38% | ||