The Most Important Games for the Citadel Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Citadel Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Citadel Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Citadel (5‑10) vs N.C. Greensboro (10‑7) |
4 | Citadel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 32% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 49% | ||
| Samford (14‑3) vs Mercer (9‑8) |
1 | Samford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| Mercer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 29% | 50% | ||
| Furman (14‑2) vs E. Tennessee St. (10‑7) |
0 | Furman Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. (10‑7) vs Wofford (8‑8) |
0 | ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 30% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| Wofford Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 48% | ||
| Western Carolina (5‑10) vs VMI (6‑11) |
0 | Western Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 30% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 48% | ||
| VMI Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 51% | ||