The Most Important Games for the Citadel Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Citadel Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Citadel Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Citadel (9‑18) vs Samford (15‑12) |
7 | Citadel Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 27% | 49% | 15% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Samford Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 51% | 37% | ^ | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (19‑8) vs Furman (17‑10) |
2 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Furman Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 52% | 30% | ^ | ||
| Western Carolina (10‑15) vs N.C. Greensboro (12‑15) |
1 | Western Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 56% | 32% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 24% | 43% | 30% | ^ | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. (10‑17) vs Mercer (17‑10) |
1 | ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 39% | 41% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Mercer Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 54% | 28% | ^ | ||
| VMI (6‑21) vs Wofford (17‑10) |
0 | VMI Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 51% | 30% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 50% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Wofford Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 50% | 30% | ^ | ||