The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Incarnate Word (9‑8) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑6) |
23 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (8‑9) vs Nicholls St. (10‑7) |
2 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑15) vs New Orleans (3‑14) |
1 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| McNeese (12‑5) vs Lamar (9‑8) |
1 | McNeese Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 50% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (11‑6) vs Houston Christian (6‑11) |
1 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (7‑9) vs SE Louisiana (8‑8) |
0 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 49% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||