The Most Important Games for the Incarnate Word Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Incarnate Word Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Incarnate Word Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Incarnate Word (8‑6) vs Lamar (7‑7) |
31 | Incarnate Word Wins | 3% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 2% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 18% | ||
| Houston Christian (4‑10) vs Stephen F. Austin (12‑3) |
5 | Houston Christian Wins | 3% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| New Orleans (5‑9) vs Nicholls St. (6‑8) |
2 | New Orleans Wins | 3% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (4‑11) vs Texas A&M C.C. (7‑7) |
1 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| East Texas A&M (6‑10) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (6‑9) |
0 | East Texas A&M Wins | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 14% | ||
| McNeese (12‑3) vs SE Louisiana (5‑10) |
0 | McNeese Wins | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 4% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 16% | ||