The Most Important Games for the New Orleans Privateers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Privateers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Orleans Privateers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Orleans Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| New Orleans (11‑14) vs Houston Christian (8‑17) |
22 | New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | X | <1% | 7% | 20% | 29% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Lamar (12‑13) vs Texas A&M C.C. (13‑12) |
10 | Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | 15% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 25% | 30% | 26% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Incarnate Word (10‑15) vs Nicholls St. (10‑15) |
7 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | 14% | 31% | 30% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 25% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (22‑3) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (14‑11) |
4 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | X | <1% | 17% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 32% | 31% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| East Texas A&M (10‑16) vs McNeese (20‑5) |
1 | East Texas A&M Wins | <1% | <1% | 14% | 28% | 28% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| SE Louisiana (8‑17) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (7‑18) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | <1% | 13% | 27% | 28% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||