The Most Important Games for the Nicholls St. Colonels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nicholls St. Colonels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nicholls St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (1‑1) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (1‑0) |
19 | Nicholls St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| McNeese (1‑1) vs Houston Christian (1‑0) |
2 | McNeese Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (0‑2) vs Lamar (1‑0) |
2 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Incarnate Word (0‑2) vs SE Louisiana (0‑1) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (2‑0) vs East Texas A&M (2‑0) |
1 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 43% | ||