The Most Important Games for the Nicholls St. Colonels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nicholls St. Colonels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nicholls St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (7‑9) vs Lamar (9‑7) |
36 | Nicholls St. Wins | 7% | 17% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 3% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (6‑11) vs McNeese (14‑3) |
5 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 7% | 15% | 28% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| McNeese Wins | 5% | 15% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| New Orleans (6‑10) vs Stephen F. Austin (14‑3) |
5 | New Orleans Wins | 6% | 17% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | 5% | 14% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Houston Christian (4‑12) vs East Texas A&M (7‑11) |
2 | Houston Christian Wins | 5% | 15% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Incarnate Word (8‑8) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑11) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | 6% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 5% | 15% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| SE Louisiana (5‑12) vs Texas A&M C.C. (8‑8) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | 5% | 15% | 31% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 5% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||