The Most Important Games for the Nicholls St. Colonels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nicholls St. Colonels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nicholls St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (12‑17) vs SE Louisiana (8‑21) |
10 | Nicholls St. Wins | X | X | 1% | 9% | 45% | 44% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Texas A&M (11‑19) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (16‑13) |
7 | East Texas A&M Wins | X | X | 2% | 11% | 33% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | X | X | 1% | 5% | 39% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| McNeese (24‑5) vs New Orleans (14‑15) |
3 | McNeese Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Orleans Wins | X | X | X | 6% | 39% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (10‑19) vs Texas A&M C.C. (15‑14) |
2 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | X | X | 1% | 8% | 74% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | X | X | 1% | 6% | 21% | 71% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Christian (11‑18) vs Stephen F. Austin (25‑4) |
0 | Houston Christian Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Incarnate Word (11‑18) vs Lamar (12‑17) |
0 | Incarnate Word Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lamar Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 37% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||