The Most Important Games for the Nicholls St. Colonels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nicholls St. Colonels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nicholls St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (10‑7) vs Stephen F. Austin (8‑9) |
34 | Nicholls St. Wins | 7% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | 4% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Incarnate Word (9‑8) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑6) |
5 | Incarnate Word Wins | 7% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 6% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Houston Christian (6‑11) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (11‑6) |
3 | Houston Christian Wins | 6% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 7% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Lamar (9‑8) vs McNeese (12‑5) |
2 | Lamar Wins | 9% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| McNeese Wins | 5% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑15) vs New Orleans (3‑14) |
1 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 6% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | 7% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| SE Louisiana (8‑8) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (7‑9) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | 7% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 7% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||