The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (7‑9) vs SE Louisiana (8‑8) |
36 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 2% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 17% | ||
| Incarnate Word (9‑8) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑6) |
4 | Incarnate Word Wins | 2% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Houston Christian (6‑11) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (11‑6) |
3 | Houston Christian Wins | 2% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 2% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑15) vs New Orleans (3‑14) |
1 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 2% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | 2% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 14% | ||
| McNeese (12‑5) vs Lamar (9‑8) |
0 | McNeese Wins | 2% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 2% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (8‑9) vs Nicholls St. (10‑7) |
0 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 2% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 14% | ||