The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑17) vs East Texas A&M (9‑15) |
15 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| McNeese (18‑5) vs Incarnate Word (10‑13) |
4 | McNeese Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (20‑3) vs Lamar (12‑11) |
1 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Lamar Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 89% | ||
| New Orleans (10‑13) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (12‑11) |
1 | New Orleans Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 89% | ||
| SE Louisiana (6‑17) vs Houston Christian (8‑15) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Nicholls St. (10‑13) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑11) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 88% | ||