The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑11) vs Incarnate Word (8‑8) |
25 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 38% | ||
| McNeese (14‑3) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (6‑11) |
3 | McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 36% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (14‑3) vs New Orleans (6‑10) |
3 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 35% | ||
| Houston Christian (4‑12) vs East Texas A&M (7‑11) |
2 | Houston Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 34% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (8‑8) vs SE Louisiana (5‑12) |
1 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 34% | ||
| Nicholls St. (7‑9) vs Lamar (9‑7) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 33% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 33% | ||