The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (16‑13) vs East Texas A&M (11‑19) |
16 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 72% | 25% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 59% | 22% | 19% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (25‑4) vs Houston Christian (11‑18) |
15 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 76% | 19% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 27% | 53% | 21% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (10‑19) vs Texas A&M C.C. (15‑14) |
10 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 94% | 6% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 58% | 32% | 10% | ||
| Incarnate Word (11‑18) vs Lamar (12‑17) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| Lamar Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 61% | 31% | 8% | ||
| Nicholls St. (12‑17) vs SE Louisiana (8‑21) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| New Orleans (14‑15) vs McNeese (24‑5) |
0 | New Orleans Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||
| McNeese Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 24% | 7% | ||