The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (11‑15) vs New Orleans (4‑23) |
10 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 16% | 41% | 28% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 9% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (3‑24) vs SE Louisiana (16‑10) |
2 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 36% | 28% | 16% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| McNeese (21‑6) vs Texas A&M C.C. (17‑11) |
1 | McNeese Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 36% | 28% | 16% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 39% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (14‑13) vs Incarnate Word (13‑14) |
0 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 28% | 18% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 40% | 28% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Nicholls St. (16‑11) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (14‑13) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 9% | 40% | 29% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 19% | 32% | 26% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Houston Christian (11‑16) vs Lamar (17‑10) |
0 | Houston Christian Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 31% | 19% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 5% | ||
| Lamar Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 5% | ||