The Texas A&M C.C. Islanders What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M C.C. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 21% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 19% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | 14% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 23% | 32% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 19% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Stephen F. Austin beats Nicholls St. Houston Christian beats UT-Rio Grande Valley Texas A&M C.C. beats Incarnate Word |
Worst Case Scenario Nicholls St. beats Stephen F. Austin UT-Rio Grande Valley beats Houston Christian Incarnate Word beats Texas A&M C.C. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 19 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 18 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 17 | 3 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 16 | 4 | 64% | 35% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 15 | 5 | 36% | 58% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 14 | 6 | 13% | 58% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 13 | 7 | 2% | 29% | 47% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 6% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 39% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 38% | 30% | 9% | 1% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 9 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 35% | 18% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 65% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |