Alabama A&M Bulldogs What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Win Next Game	3	2	1%	2%	5%	8%	10%	13%	14%	13%	34%
Current Standings	2	2	1%	2%	4%	6%	9%	11%	13%	14%	42%
Lose Next Game	2	3	<1%	1%	3%	4%	7%	10%	12%	14%	48%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	1%	2%	5%	8%	10%	13%	14%	13%	34%
Current Standings	1%	2%	4%	6%	9%	11%	13%	14%	42%
Worst Case Scenario	<1%	1%	3%	4%	7%	10%	12%	14%	48%
Best Case Scenario Alabama A&M beats Alabama St.					Worst Case Scenario Alabama St. beats Alabama A&M

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
14 of 14	100%	16	2	94%	6%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
13 of 14	93%	15	3	78%	21%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
12 of 14	86%	14	4	48%	42%	9%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
11 of 14	79%	13	5	19%	46%	30%	5%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
10 of 14	71%	12	6	3%	24%	43%	25%	5%	<1%	<1%	^	^
9 of 14	64%	11	7	<1%	4%	23%	40%	26%	6%	1%	<1%	^
8 of 14	57%	10	8	<1%	<1%	3%	19%	38%	29%	9%	1%	<1%
7 of 14	50%	9	9	X	X	<1%	2%	15%	35%	34%	13%	2%
6 of 14	43%	8	10	X	X	X	<1%	1%	8%	29%	39%	23%
5 of 14	36%	7	11	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	5%	25%	70%
4 of 14	29%	6	12	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	4%	96%
3 of 14	21%	5	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	>99%
2 of 14	14%	4	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%
1 of 14	7%	3	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 14	0%	2	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

Southwestern Basketball - Week 11 of 18