Alabama A&M Bulldogs What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Win Next Game	1	0	13%	11%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	25%
Current Standings	0	0	12%	10%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	8%	28%
Lose Next Game	0	1	8%	9%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	32%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	13%	11%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	25%
Current Standings	12%	10%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	8%	28%
Worst Case Scenario	8%	9%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	32%
Best Case Scenario Alabama A&M beats AR Pine Bluff					Worst Case Scenario AR Pine Bluff beats Alabama A&M

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
18 of 18	100%	18	0	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 18	94%	17	1	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 18	89%	16	2	95%	5%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
15 of 18	83%	15	3	77%	22%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
14 of 18	78%	14	4	43%	46%	11%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
13 of 18	72%	13	5	13%	43%	35%	8%	1%	<1%	^	^	^
12 of 18	67%	12	6	2%	16%	41%	32%	8%	1%	<1%	^	^
11 of 18	61%	11	7	<1%	2%	16%	40%	33%	9%	1%	<1%	^
10 of 18	56%	10	8	<1%	<1%	2%	15%	38%	34%	10%	1%	<1%
9 of 18	50%	9	9	X	X	<1%	2%	14%	37%	35%	11%	1%
8 of 18	44%	8	10	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	36%	36%	14%
7 of 18	39%	7	11	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	35%	52%
6 of 18	33%	6	12	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	11%	88%
5 of 18	28%	5	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	99%
4 of 18	22%	4	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%
3 of 18	17%	3	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
2 of 18	11%	2	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
1 of 18	6%	1	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 18	0%	0	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

Southwestern Basketball - Week 3 of 18