The Bethune-Cookman Wildcats What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Bethune-Cookman plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 13% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 13% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 9% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
Best Case Scenario | 13% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Current Standings | 13% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
Best Case Scenario Bethune-Cookman beats Miss. Valley St. |
Worst Case Scenario Miss. Valley St. beats Bethune-Cookman |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
15 of 15 | 100% | 17 | 1 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 15 | 93% | 16 | 2 | 85% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 15 | 87% | 15 | 3 | 64% | 35% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 15 | 80% | 14 | 4 | 39% | 54% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 15 | 73% | 13 | 5 | 16% | 56% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 15 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 4% | 33% | 45% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
9 of 15 | 60% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 8% | 33% | 39% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
8 of 15 | 53% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 28% | 38% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 15 | 47% | 9 | 9 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 30% | 9% | 1% |
6 of 15 | 40% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 20% |
5 of 15 | 33% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 26% | 68% |
4 of 15 | 27% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
3 of 15 | 20% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 15 | 13% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 15 | 7% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 15 | 0% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |