PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 14 7:30 am

Southwestern Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Bethune-Cookman What If?

The Bethune-Cookman Wildcats What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Bethune-Cookman plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bethune-Cookman What If?

Next Game - Miss. Valley St. (2‑15)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 3 1 13% 22% 17% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4%
Current Standings 2 1 13% 22% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 4% 6%
Lose Next Game 2 2 9% 17% 17% 14% 11% 10% 8% 6% 9%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 13% 22% 17% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 4%
Current Standings 13% 22% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 4% 6%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 17% 17% 14% 11% 10% 8% 6% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Bethune-Cookman beats Miss. Valley St.
Worst Case Scenario
   Miss. Valley St. beats Bethune-Cookman
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
15 of 15 100% 17 1 97% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 16 2 85% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 15 3 64% 35% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 15 80% 14 4 39% 54% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 15 73% 13 5 16% 56% 25% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
10 of 15 67% 12 6 4% 33% 45% 16% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
9 of 15 60% 11 7 <1% 8% 33% 39% 17% 2% <1% <1% ^
8 of 15 53% 10 8 <1% <1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% <1% <1%
7 of 15 47% 9 9 X <1% <1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
6 of 15 40% 8 10 X X X <1% 1% 11% 31% 36% 20%
5 of 15 33% 7 11 X X X X <1% 1% 6% 26% 68%
4 of 15 27% 6 12 X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 96%
3 of 15 20% 5 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 15 13% 4 14 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 15 7% 3 15 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 2 16 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament