PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Nov 21 1:45 am

Southwestern Basketball - Week 3 of 18

Florida A&M What If?

The Florida A&M Rattlers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Florida A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Florida A&M What If?

Next Game - Bethune-Cookman (1‑4)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 1 0 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 30%
Current Standings 0 0 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 34%
Lose Next Game 0 1 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 38%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 30%
Current Standings 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 34%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Florida A&M beats Bethune-Cookman
Worst Case Scenario
   Bethune-Cookman beats Florida A&M
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
18 of 18 100% 18 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 18 94% 17 1 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 18 89% 16 2 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 18 83% 15 3 77% 22% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 18 78% 14 4 42% 46% 11% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 18 72% 13 5 13% 43% 36% 8% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
12 of 18 67% 12 6 2% 16% 41% 33% 8% 1% <1% ^ ^
11 of 18 61% 11 7 <1% 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1% <1% ^
10 of 18 56% 10 8 <1% <1% 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1% <1%
9 of 18 50% 9 9 X X <1% 1% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
8 of 18 44% 8 10 X X X <1% 1% 13% 37% 35% 14%
7 of 18 39% 7 11 X X X X <1% 1% 12% 36% 52%
6 of 18 33% 6 12 X X X X X <1% 1% 10% 89%
5 of 18 28% 5 13 X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
4 of 18 22% 4 14 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
3 of 18 17% 3 15 X X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 18 11% 2 16 X X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 18 6% 1 17 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 18 0% 0 18 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament