PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 14 7:30 am

Southwestern Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Florida A&M What If?

The Florida A&M Rattlers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Florida A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Florida A&M What If?

Next Game - AR Pine Bluff (3‑13)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 1 3 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 12% 13% 43%
Current Standings 0 3 <1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 48%
Lose Next Game 0 4 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 59%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 11% 12% 13% 43%
Current Standings <1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 48%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 59%
Best Case Scenario
   Florida A&M beats AR Pine Bluff
Worst Case Scenario
   AR Pine Bluff beats Florida A&M
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
15 of 15 100% 15 3 74% 26% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 14 4 46% 49% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 13 5 20% 54% 24% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 15 80% 12 6 4% 33% 45% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
11 of 15 73% 11 7 <1% 7% 33% 41% 16% 2% <1% <1% ^
10 of 15 67% 10 8 <1% <1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 5% <1% <1%
9 of 15 60% 9 9 X X <1% 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
8 of 15 53% 8 10 X X X <1% 1% 11% 32% 36% 20%
7 of 15 47% 7 11 X X X X <1% <1% 6% 24% 70%
6 of 15 40% 6 12 X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
5 of 15 33% 5 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
4 of 15 27% 4 14 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
3 of 15 20% 3 15 X X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 15 13% 2 16 X X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 15 7% 1 17 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 0 18 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament