The Most Important Games for the Southern Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern (9‑8) vs Grambling (3‑13) |
2 | Southern Wins | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 48% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff (3‑13) vs Florida A&M (3‑11) |
0 | AR Pine Bluff Wins | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | 58% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jackson St. (3‑13) vs Prairie View A&M (4‑13) |
0 | Jackson St. Wins | 57% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (5‑11) vs Miss. Valley St. (2‑15) |
0 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 57% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 59% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texas Southern (5‑11) vs Alcorn St. (3‑13) |
0 | Texas Southern Wins | 58% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 58% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Alabama St. (6‑11) vs Alabama A&M (6‑11) |
0 | Alabama St. Wins | 57% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alabama A&M Wins | 58% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||