The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota (7‑11) vs South Dakota St. (10‑8) |
16 | North Dakota Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 17% | ||
| South Dakota (10‑8) vs Oral Roberts (5‑11) |
4 | South Dakota Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 27% | 17% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (10‑9) vs Denver (6‑13) |
3 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% | ||
| Denver Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 18% | ||
| North Dakota St. (13‑6) vs UMKC (10‑8) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% | ||
| UMKC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 15% | ||