The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (13‑6) vs UMKC (10‑8) |
2 | North Dakota St. Wins | 8% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 3% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota (10‑8) vs Oral Roberts (5‑11) |
1 | South Dakota Wins | 7% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 7% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (10‑8) vs North Dakota (7‑11) |
1 | South Dakota St. Wins | 7% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 8% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (10‑9) vs Denver (6‑13) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 7% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 8% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||