The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| UMKC (4‑22) vs North Dakota (15‑14) |
0 | UMKC Wins | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (14‑14) vs Oral Roberts (6‑21) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. (21‑6) vs South Dakota St. (12‑15) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | 91% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Denver (13‑15) vs South Dakota (14‑13) |
0 | Denver Wins | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||