The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| South Dakota (17‑11) vs Nebraska Omaha (17‑12) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 60% | 34% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 67% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (20‑8) vs Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | X | X | 7% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | X | <1% | 8% | 63% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. (20‑9) vs North Dakota (10‑17) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | X | <1% | 8% | 65% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota Wins | X | X | 1% | 64% | 35% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. (18‑10) vs UMKC (11‑17) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 66% | 31% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 6% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMKC Wins | X | <1% | 19% | 55% | 26% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||