The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Arkansas St. (6‑3) vs Texas State (6‑5) |
315 | Arkansas St. Wins | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (2‑7) vs South Alabama (8‑2) |
50 | UL Monroe Wins | 26% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑7) vs James Madison (7‑4) |
33 | Old Dominion Wins | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Southern Miss (5‑4) |
24 | LA Lafayette Wins | 25% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy (5‑5) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
20 | Troy Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (6‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (5‑5) |
4 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 25% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑9) vs Georgia Southern (6‑5) |
3 | Georgia St. Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||