The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Arkansas St. (19‑9) vs UL Monroe (7‑21) |
74 | Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 14% | 38% | 35% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 41% | 41% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina (9‑19) vs Troy (17‑10) |
11 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 2% | 20% | 51% | 18% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | 1% | 12% | 34% | 38% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. (12‑16) vs Old Dominion (9‑17) |
1 | Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall (16‑12) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) |
1 | Marshall Wins | 2% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 1% | 13% | 35% | 36% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison (18‑10) vs Georgia Southern (14‑14) |
1 | James Madison Wins | 1% | 10% | 38% | 36% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 4% | 21% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (10‑19) vs LA Lafayette (10‑18) |
0 | Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 14% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 13% | 36% | 34% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (14‑14) vs South Alabama (19‑9) |
0 | Texas State Wins | 3% | 19% | 32% | 31% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 13% | 36% | 35% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | 8% | 38% | 38% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||