The Most Important Games for the Georgia Southern Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Georgia Southern Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Georgia Southern Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Georgia Southern (14‑14) vs James Madison (18‑10) |
41 | Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 19% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 36% | 25% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (10‑19) vs LA Lafayette (10‑18) |
12 | Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 27% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 44% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. (12‑16) vs Old Dominion (9‑17) |
12 | Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 25% | 19% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 37% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. (19‑9) vs UL Monroe (7‑21) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 19% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 31% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (14‑14) vs South Alabama (19‑9) |
1 | Texas State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 31% | 19% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) vs Marshall (16‑12) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 19% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy (17‑10) vs Coastal Carolina (9‑19) |
0 | Troy Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 31% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ||