The Most Important Games for the Georgia Southern Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Georgia Southern Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Georgia Southern Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Georgia Southern (14‑12) vs Georgia St. (9‑18) |
141 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 13% | 11% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (14‑14) |
27 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (9‑18) vs Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
6 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 5% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (19‑8) vs Texas State (17‑11) |
5 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (14‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
2 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Troy (17‑10) vs UL Monroe (4‑22) |
1 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) vs Marshall (17‑10) |
0 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | <1% | ||