The Most Important Games for the James Madison Dukes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dukes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. James Madison Dukes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
James Madison Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| James Madison (14‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
180 | James Madison Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 13% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (19‑8) vs Texas State (17‑11) |
19 | South Alabama Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (14‑14) |
17 | Old Dominion Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 14% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (9‑18) vs Georgia Southern (14‑12) |
13 | Georgia St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (9‑18) vs Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
9 | LA Lafayette Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑22) vs Troy (17‑10) |
3 | UL Monroe Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) vs Marshall (17‑10) |
2 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 9% | <1% | ||