The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (10‑20) vs Georgia St. (10‑20) |
60 | Old Dominion Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 68% | 17% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 77% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (10‑20) vs Arkansas St. (19‑11) |
41 | LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 72% | 28% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 31% | 51% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall (19‑11) vs Georgia Southern (14‑15) |
15 | Marshall Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 43% | 57% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 28% | 12% | 60% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (15‑15) vs South Alabama (21‑9) |
8 | Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 41% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 36% | 49% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy (19‑11) vs UL Monroe (4‑25) |
0 | Troy Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison (17‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (18‑12) |
0 | James Madison Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (18‑12) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (19‑11) |
0 | Texas State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 39% | 46% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||