The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Southern Miss (5‑4) |
57 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 24% | ||
| Arkansas St. (6‑3) vs Texas State (6‑5) |
6 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 23% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑9) vs Georgia Southern (6‑5) |
3 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (6‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (5‑5) |
2 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Troy (5‑5) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
1 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 23% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑7) vs James Madison (7‑4) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| South Alabama (8‑2) vs UL Monroe (2‑7) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 22% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 25% | ||