The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| LA Lafayette (8‑16) vs Coastal Carolina (14‑11) |
178 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 10% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (16‑7) vs Southern Miss (12‑13) |
18 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 7% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (11‑13) vs Georgia St. (9‑15) |
13 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Troy (16‑8) vs Texas State (14‑11) |
12 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑19) vs Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
7 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (16‑9) vs Georgia Southern (13‑11) |
6 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (7‑17) vs Marshall (15‑8) |
5 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 7% | <1% | ||