The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| LA Lafayette (4‑12) vs Troy (9‑6) |
36 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 35% | 3% | ||
| South Alabama (11‑5) vs Georgia Southern (12‑5) |
2 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Marshall (11‑5) vs Georgia St. (5‑12) |
2 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 36% | 3% | ||
| Arkansas St. (10‑5) vs Texas State (9‑8) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 34% | 3% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (10‑7) vs Coastal Carolina (8‑9) |
1 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 31% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 35% | 3% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑14) vs Southern Miss (10‑7) |
1 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 30% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 3% | ||
| James Madison (8‑8) vs Old Dominion (5‑12) |
0 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 33% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 3% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 34% | 3% | ||