The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (9‑17) vs Georgia St. (12‑16) |
21 | Old Dominion Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 11% | 53% | 19% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 25% | 27% | 23% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (10‑19) vs LA Lafayette (10‑18) |
8 | Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 25% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama (19‑9) vs Texas State (14‑14) |
5 | South Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 29% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison (18‑10) vs Georgia Southern (14‑14) |
5 | James Madison Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall (16‑12) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) |
0 | Marshall Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 29% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (7‑21) vs Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
0 | UL Monroe Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 26% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina (9‑19) vs Troy (17‑10) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 27% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||