The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (14‑14) |
71 | Old Dominion Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 15% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 28% | 29% | 32% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (16‑11) vs James Madison (14‑13) |
8 | Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (9‑18) vs Georgia Southern (14‑12) |
6 | Georgia St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 27% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 27% | 23% | 21% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (9‑18) vs Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 35% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 25% | 18% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (19‑8) vs Texas State (17‑11) |
1 | South Alabama Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Marshall (17‑10) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) |
0 | Marshall Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 23% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Troy (17‑10) vs UL Monroe (4‑22) |
0 | Troy Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 23% | <1% | ||