The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (4‑12) vs Coastal Carolina (8‑8) |
67 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 10% | ||
| Georgia Southern (12‑5) vs South Alabama (11‑5) |
7 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Southern Miss (9‑7) vs Texas State (9‑7) |
3 | Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑13) vs LA Lafayette (3‑12) |
2 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 8% | ||
| Marshall (10‑5) vs James Madison (8‑7) |
1 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Georgia St. (5‑11) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (9‑7) |
1 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 9% | ||
| Troy (9‑5) vs Arkansas St. (9‑5) |
0 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 8% | ||