The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (8‑10) vs South Alabama (12‑5) |
30 | Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas St. (12‑5) vs LA Lafayette (5‑12) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 1% | ||
| James Madison (9‑8) vs Marshall (10‑8) |
1 | James Madison Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑14) vs Troy (10‑6) |
1 | UL Monroe Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (9‑7) vs Old Dominion (6‑9) |
1 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Texas State (9‑8) vs Georgia St. (7‑10) |
0 | Texas State Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern (8‑9) vs Coastal Carolina (8‑9) |
0 | Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 1% | ||