The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (9‑7) vs Texas State (9‑7) |
296 | Southern Miss Wins | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (8‑7) vs Marshall (10‑5) |
22 | James Madison Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Troy (9‑5) vs Arkansas St. (9‑5) |
19 | Troy Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (11‑5) vs Georgia Southern (12‑5) |
18 | South Alabama Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑13) vs LA Lafayette (3‑12) |
17 | UL Monroe Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (9‑7) vs Georgia St. (5‑11) |
13 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (4‑12) vs Coastal Carolina (8‑8) |
13 | Old Dominion Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||