The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (4‑3) vs LA Lafayette (1‑7) |
191 | Southern Miss Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Texas State (6‑3) vs Arkansas St. (5‑3) |
20 | Texas State Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑7) vs Georgia Southern (3‑5) |
13 | Georgia St. Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| UL Monroe (1‑6) vs South Alabama (6‑1) |
5 | UL Monroe Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑5) vs James Madison (5‑3) |
4 | Old Dominion Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Marshall (5‑2) vs Troy (5‑4) |
2 | Marshall Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Troy Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑3) |
1 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||