The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (10‑19) vs LA Lafayette (10‑18) |
26 | Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 25% | 47% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 83% | 3% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (18‑10) vs Georgia Southern (14‑14) |
7 | James Madison Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 21% | 60% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 76% | 2% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (19‑9) vs Texas State (14‑14) |
4 | South Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 18% | 63% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 65% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (9‑17) vs Georgia St. (12‑16) |
2 | Old Dominion Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 63% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 20% | 63% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (7‑21) vs Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
0 | UL Monroe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 58% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (9‑19) vs Troy (17‑10) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 59% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) vs Marshall (16‑12) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 64% | 2% | <1% | ||