The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 1 | 7% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 21% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 18% |
| Current Standings | 7% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
|
Best Case Scenario Georgia St. beats James Madison Coastal Carolina beats Old Dominion |
Worst Case Scenario James Madison beats Georgia St. Old Dominion beats Coastal Carolina |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 6 | 2 | 51% | 43% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 5 | 3 | 8% | 40% | 41% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 28% | 45% | 21% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 2% | 16% | 45% | 33% | 4% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 49% | 40% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 13% | 87% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |