The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 21% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 17% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 8% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 88% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 40% | 48% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 34% | 44% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 3% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 45% | 32% | 5% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 49% | 39% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 12% | 87% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |