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Sat Nov 14 5:45 am

UAC Basketball - Week 3 of 19

Central Arkansas Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Central Arkansas Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NT
Central Arkansas
(2‑2)

vs
Tarleton St.
(3‑1)
5 Central Arkansas Wins 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 9% 6%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9%
Tarleton St. Wins 7% 10% 12% 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 11%
North Alabama
(2‑1)

vs
West Georgia
(0‑3)
1 North Alabama Wins 10% 12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9%
West Georgia Wins 10% 12% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Austin Peay
(2‑1)

vs
Eastern Kentucky
(3‑1)
0 Austin Peay Wins 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9%
Eastern Kentucky Wins 10% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10%
Abilene Christian
(0‑2)

vs
UALR
(0‑2)
0 Abilene Christian Wins 10% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Current Probabilities 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9%
UALR Wins 10% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot