The Gonzaga Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Gonzaga plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 3 | 9% | 52% | 28% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 12 | 3 | 5% | 44% | 33% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 4 | X | 39% | 39% | 20% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 53% | 36% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5% | 44% | 33% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 31% | 46% | 21% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario San Diego beats Oregon St. Washington St. beats Santa Clara Gonzaga beats St. Mary's |
Worst Case Scenario Oregon St. beats San Diego Santa Clara beats Washington St. St. Mary's beats Gonzaga |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 15 | 3 | 34% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 14 | 4 | 1% | 81% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 13 | 5 | X | 18% | 67% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 12 | 6 | X | X | 8% | 83% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |