The Most Important Games for the Pacific Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pacific Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pacific Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Pacific (14‑8) vs Portland (10‑12) |
127 | Pacific Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 39% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara (16‑6) vs San Francisco (13‑8) |
22 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 36% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon St. (10‑12) vs Loyola Marymount (11‑11) |
8 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 35% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine (6‑16) vs San Diego (9‑13) |
4 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 33% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 32% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Gonzaga (21‑0) vs St. Mary's (19‑2) |
3 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Washington St. (9‑13) vs Seattle (14‑8) |
2 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 34% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||