The Most Important Games for the Pacific Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pacific Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pacific Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pacific (6‑14) vs Portland (5‑12) |
26 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% | ||
| Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 32% | 36% | ||
| Washington St. (13‑5) vs San Diego (4‑14) |
7 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% | ||
| San Diego Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 30% | 33% | ||
| San Francisco (14‑5) vs Pepperdine (7‑10) |
3 | San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 25% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 26% | 32% | 28% | ||
| Santa Clara (12‑6) vs Loyola Marymount (9‑8) |
2 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Gonzaga (14‑5) vs Oregon St. (13‑5) |
1 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 25% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 28% | ||