The Most Important Games for the Pacific Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pacific Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pacific Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pacific (9‑5) vs Loyola Marymount (9‑5) |
104 | Pacific Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 8% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Oregon St. (7‑7) vs San Francisco (9‑4) |
10 | Oregon St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Pepperdine (5‑9) vs St. Mary's (12‑1) |
9 | Pepperdine Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Portland (7‑7) vs Santa Clara (9‑4) |
4 | Portland Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Washington St. (6‑7) vs Seattle (11‑3) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| San Diego (6‑7) vs Gonzaga (13‑0) |
0 | San Diego Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||