The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (3‑6) vs Gonzaga (8‑0) |
23 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | ||
| St. Mary's (8‑0) vs Loyola Marymount (7‑3) |
3 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Santa Clara (7‑2) vs Oregon St. (4‑5) |
1 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Pacific (7‑2) vs San Diego (3‑5) |
1 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Washington St. (3‑5) vs Portland (6‑4) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Portland Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Seattle (6‑2) vs San Francisco (5‑3) |
0 | Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 22% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | ||