The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (10‑17) vs Pacific (9‑21) |
34 | Portland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 1% | 91% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Pacific Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 17% | 42% | 39% | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine (10‑18) vs Loyola Marymount (15‑13) |
23 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 13% | 78% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 65% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Oregon St. (19‑9) vs San Diego (4‑24) |
1 | Oregon St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 10% | 67% | 20% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Washington St. (16‑12) vs Santa Clara (18‑10) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 70% | 21% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 9% | 67% | 21% | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga (21‑7) vs St. Mary's (24‑4) |
0 | Gonzaga Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 68% | 21% | ^ | ||