The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (3‑4) vs Gonzaga (7‑0) |
44 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Portland (5‑3) vs Washington St. (3‑4) |
3 | Portland Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (7‑2) vs St. Mary's (8‑0) |
3 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Pacific (5‑2) vs San Diego (3‑3) |
2 | Pacific Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Seattle (5‑1) vs San Francisco (5‑2) |
1 | Seattle Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Oregon St. (3‑4) vs Santa Clara (6‑2) |
0 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 18% | 24% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | ||