The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (5‑9) vs St. Mary's (12‑1) |
22 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Gonzaga (13‑0) vs San Diego (6‑7) |
2 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Santa Clara (9‑4) vs Portland (7‑7) |
1 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Portland Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Washington St. (6‑7) vs Seattle (11‑3) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (9‑5) vs Pacific (9‑5) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Oregon St. (7‑7) vs San Francisco (9‑4) |
0 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 20% | 40% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | ||