The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (4‑8) vs Gonzaga (11‑0) |
19 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Seattle (9‑2) vs San Francisco (7‑4) |
1 | Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | ||
| St. Mary's (9‑1) vs Loyola Marymount (7‑4) |
1 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Washington St. (4‑7) vs Portland (7‑5) |
1 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| Portland Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Santa Clara (8‑3) vs Oregon St. (6‑6) |
0 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Pacific (8‑4) vs San Diego (4‑6) |
0 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 22% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | ||