The Most Important Games for the San Francisco Dons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Francisco Dons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Francisco Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Francisco (15‑12) vs Gonzaga (25‑2) |
145 | San Francisco Wins | X | X | X | 33% | 20% | 35% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 16% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 15% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Mary's (23‑3) vs Seattle (16‑11) |
25 | St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | 16% | 16% | 35% | 21% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 16% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | X | X | 15% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 16% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pacific (17‑11) vs Washington St. (11‑16) |
18 | Pacific Wins | X | X | X | 16% | 8% | 42% | 22% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 16% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington St. Wins | X | X | X | 15% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine (7‑20) vs Portland (12‑15) |
6 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | X | 15% | 16% | 35% | 23% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 16% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland Wins | X | X | X | 16% | 16% | 32% | 22% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego (11‑17) vs Loyola Marymount (13‑15) |
4 | San Diego Wins | X | X | X | 15% | 16% | 34% | 22% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 16% | 15% | 33% | 22% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | X | 15% | 15% | 32% | 21% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||