The Most Important Games for the San Francisco Dons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Francisco Dons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Francisco Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| St. Mary's (24‑4) vs Gonzaga (21‑7) |
138 | St. Mary's Wins | X | 51% | 35% | 13% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | <1% | 34% | 57% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington St. (16‑12) vs Santa Clara (18‑10) |
37 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | 44% | 50% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | 41% | 41% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego (4‑24) vs Oregon St. (19‑9) |
7 | San Diego Wins | <1% | 42% | 49% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | <1% | 42% | 45% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pacific (9‑21) vs Portland (10‑17) |
0 | Pacific Wins | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland Wins | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount (15‑13) vs Pepperdine (10‑18) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | <1% | 43% | 45% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||