The Santa Clara Broncos What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Santa Clara plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 15% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 8% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 16% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Santa Clara beats Loyola Marymount San Diego beats Washington St. Pepperdine beats San Francisco |
Worst Case Scenario Loyola Marymount beats Santa Clara Washington St. beats San Diego San Francisco beats Pepperdine |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 17 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 16 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 15 | 3 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 14 | 4 | 55% | 42% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 13 | 5 | 17% | 53% | 27% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 12 | 6 | 1% | 20% | 50% | 26% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 19% | 47% | 28% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 45% | 30% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 9 | 9 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 47% | 29% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 25% | 56% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 44% | 41% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 12% | 44% | 36% | 8% | <1% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 13% | 46% | 34% | 6% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 17% | 53% | 30% |