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Sun Feb 2 9:00 am

West Coast Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Washington St. What If?

The Washington St. Cougars What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Washington St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Washington St. What If?

Next Game - Oregon St. (16‑7)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 3**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 4**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 5***
First and Second
Round Byes
 6***
First and Second
Round Byes
 7#
First Round Bye
 8#
First Round Bye
 9#
First Round Bye
 10 11
Win Next Game 6 6 <1% 1% 5% 11% 18% 27% 34% 4% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 5 6 <1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 23% 50% 6% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 5 7 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 63% 8% 1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 3**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 4**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 5***
First and Second
Round Byes
 6***
First and Second
Round Byes
 7#
First Round Bye
 8#
First Round Bye
 9#
First Round Bye
 10 11
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 6% 13% 19% 25% 32% 3% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 23% 50% 6% 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 15% 70% 8% 1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Gonzaga beats Loyola Marymount
   Portland beats Santa Clara
   Washington St. beats Oregon St.
 Worst Case Scenario
   Loyola Marymount beats Gonzaga
   Santa Clara beats Portland
   Oregon St. beats Washington St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 2*
First, Second, Third and
Fourth Round Byes
 3**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 4**
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
 5***
First and Second
Round Byes
 6***
First and Second
Round Byes
 7#
First Round Bye
 8#
First Round Bye
 9#
First Round Bye
 10 11
7 of 7 100% 12 6 <1% 23% 61% 16% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 7 86% 11 7 <1% 1% 14% 43% 32% 9% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 7 71% 10 8 X <1% <1% 7% 32% 44% 17% <1% ^ ^ ^
4 of 7 57% 9 9 X X <1% <1% 5% 34% 60% 1% <1% ^ ^
3 of 7 43% 8 10 X X X <1% <1% 8% 82% 9% <1% <1% ^
2 of 7 29% 7 11 X X X X X <1% 60% 38% 2% <1% <1%
1 of 7 14% 6 12 X X X X X X 21% 62% 17% 1% <1%
0 of 7 0% 5 13 X X X X X X 1% 40% 50% 9% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first, second, third, and fourth round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **   denotes first, second, and third round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ***  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • # denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament