The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (4‑1) vs Virginia (3‑1) |
24 | SMU Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Pittsburgh (5‑0) vs Virginia Tech (3‑2) |
2 | Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑2) vs North Carolina (2‑1) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 23% | ||
| N.C. State (4‑0) vs Florida St. (4‑1) |
2 | N.C. State Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑1) vs Notre Dame (4‑0) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Miami (3‑1) vs Clemson (4‑1) |
0 | Miami Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Stanford (5‑0) vs California (4‑1) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| California Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Duke (3‑1) vs Louisville (2‑1) |
0 | Duke Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Wake Forest (5‑1) vs Boston College (3‑1) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 23% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||