The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (15‑5) vs Louisville (14‑6) |
50 | SMU Wins | <1% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (9‑11) vs Virginia (17‑3) |
6 | Boston College Wins | <1% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (11‑10) vs N.C. State (15‑6) |
6 | Wake Forest Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑10) vs North Carolina (16‑4) |
6 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑12) vs Clemson (17‑4) |
6 | Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (8‑12) vs California (15‑5) |
4 | Florida St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke (19‑1) vs Virginia Tech (16‑6) |
4 | Duke Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (14‑6) vs Miami (16‑4) |
3 | Stanford Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | <1% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (11‑10) vs Syracuse (12‑9) |
2 | Notre Dame Wins | <1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||