The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Clemson (3‑1) vs Miami (4‑0) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Miami Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Boston College (2‑2) vs SMU (3‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| SMU Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| N.C. State (2‑2) vs Louisville (2‑2) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Virginia (3‑1) vs Florida St. (2‑2) |
0 | Virginia Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Stanford (2‑2) vs Wake Forest (3‑1) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Pittsburgh (4‑0) vs Virginia Tech (4‑0) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||