The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| California (6‑5) vs SMU (8‑3) |
0 | California Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 37% | 23% | 20% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 9% | 73% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke (6‑5) vs Wake Forest (8‑3) |
0 | Duke Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 47% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh (8‑3) vs Miami (9‑2) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia (9‑2) vs Virginia Tech (3‑8) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 52% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 53% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑8) vs Boston College (1‑10) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State (6‑5) vs North Carolina (4‑7) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 54% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 37% | X | 15% | 24% | 16% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||