The Miami Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Miami plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 16% | 45% | 40% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 13% | 40% | 41% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | X | 3% | 63% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Best Case Scenario | 33% | 31% | 36% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 13% | 40% | 41% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 67% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Miami beats Wake Forest Virginia beats SMU |
Worst Case Scenario Wake Forest beats Miami SMU beats Virginia |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 26% | 74% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 6 | 2 | X | 5% | 95% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | X | 18% | 12% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |