The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| N.C. State (4‑4) vs Duke (6‑2) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Duke Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Boston College (4‑4) vs Florida St. (3‑5) |
0 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Clemson (5‑3) vs Syracuse (4‑4) |
0 | Clemson Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑6) vs Louisville (5‑3) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 2% | ||