The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| N.C. State (5‑5) vs Georgia Tech (6‑4) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 41% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Louisville (6‑4) vs Pittsburgh (7‑3) |
0 | Louisville Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 29% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 29% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Boston College (5‑5) vs North Carolina (6‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 23% | 29% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 29% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Miami (9‑1) vs Wake Forest (4‑6) |
0 | Miami Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 29% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 25% | 32% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Virginia (5‑5) vs SMU (9‑1) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 30% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| California (5‑5) vs Stanford (3‑7) |
0 | California Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 45% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Duke (7‑3) vs Virginia Tech (5‑5) |
0 | Duke Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 29% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 29% | 2% | ^ | ||