The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Virginia (4‑2) vs SMU (4‑1) |
7 | Virginia Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑3) vs Miami (5‑0) |
2 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| California (3‑3) vs Wake Forest (5‑1) |
1 | California Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (3‑2) vs Duke (4‑1) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (2‑3) vs Pittsburgh (5‑1) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (4‑2) vs Georgia Tech (2‑3) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑3) vs Louisville (3‑3) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||