The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Boston College (4‑4) vs Florida St. (3‑5) |
0 | Boston College Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Syracuse (4‑4) vs Clemson (5‑3) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Clemson Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 2% | ||
| N.C. State (4‑4) vs Duke (6‑2) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Duke Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑6) vs Louisville (5‑3) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Louisville Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 2% | ||