The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Boston College (5‑5) vs North Carolina (6‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 17% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 24% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (9‑1) vs Wake Forest (4‑6) |
0 | Miami Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia (5‑5) vs SMU (9‑1) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | 1% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 9% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (5‑5) vs Stanford (3‑7) |
0 | California Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 25% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville (6‑4) vs Pittsburgh (7‑3) |
0 | Louisville Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 19% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke (7‑3) vs Virginia Tech (5‑5) |
0 | Duke Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 21% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||