The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Duke (4‑2) vs Georgia Tech (6‑0) |
6 | Duke Wins | 26% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 18% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville (4‑1) vs Miami (5‑0) |
6 | Louisville Wins | 25% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 19% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (3‑3) vs SMU (4‑2) |
2 | Clemson Wins | 22% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | 21% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (4‑2) vs North Carolina (2‑3) |
1 | California Wins | 20% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 20% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (4‑2) vs Syracuse (3‑3) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 21% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (2‑4) vs Florida St. (3‑3) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 21% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||