The Most Important Games for the North Texas Mean Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mean Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Texas Mean Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| North Texas (5‑0) vs South Florida (4‑1) |
30 | North Texas Wins | 29% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 7% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple (3‑2) vs Navy (5‑0) |
2 | Temple Wins | 22% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Navy Wins | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB (2‑3) vs Florida Atlantic (2‑3) |
1 | UAB Wins | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights (2‑3) vs Charlotte (1‑4) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 22% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA (2‑3) vs Rice (3‑3) |
0 | UTSA Wins | 21% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice Wins | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||