The Most Important Games for the North Texas Mean Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mean Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Texas Mean Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| North Texas (7‑2) vs UTSA (7‑2) |
37 | North Texas Wins | 83% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | 25% | 33% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (6‑3) vs Memphis (7‑2) |
12 | South Florida Wins | 54% | 25% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | 46% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (2‑7) vs UAB (5‑4) |
2 | Temple Wins | 50% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (5‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (6‑3) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 49% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 48% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (1‑8) vs Tulane (4‑5) |
0 | Rice Wins | 50% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 48% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (5‑4) vs Charlotte (1‑8) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | 50% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 49% | 23% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||