The South Florida Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how South Florida plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | X | X | X | 2% | 23% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | 2% | 20% | 34% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 8% | 21% | 23% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Current Standings | X | X | X | 2% | 20% | 34% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | X | X | 5% | 36% | 53% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 11% | 30% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 29% | 33% | 11% | <1% | ^ |