The Most Important Games for the UTSA Roadrunners are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Roadrunners final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UTSA Roadrunners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UTSA Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UTSA (7‑2) vs North Texas (7‑2) |
50 | UTSA Wins | 42% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 1% | 13% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (6‑3) vs Memphis (7‑2) |
12 | South Florida Wins | 36% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | 20% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs East Carolina (5‑4) |
3 | Charlotte Wins | 27% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 26% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (5‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (6‑3) |
2 | Tulsa Wins | 27% | 19% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 27% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane (4‑5) vs Rice (1‑8) |
2 | Tulane Wins | 27% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | 25% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (2‑7) vs UAB (5‑4) |
0 | Temple Wins | 26% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 27% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||