The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (8‑9) vs Central Arkansas (5‑12) |
18 | North Florida Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (9‑7) vs North Alabama (11‑6) |
1 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| West Georgia (3‑14) vs Fla Gulf Coast (8‑9) |
1 | West Georgia Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Queens U. (11‑6) vs Stetson (4‑13) |
1 | Queens U. Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Stetson Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (8‑9) vs Austin Peay (6‑11) |
0 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Bellarmine (3‑14) vs Lipscomb (11‑6) |
0 | Bellarmine Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||