The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (5‑3) vs Ohio St. (6‑2) |
1 | Oregon Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (5‑3) vs UCLA (8‑0) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rutgers (2‑6) vs Wisconsin (5‑3) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue (3‑5) vs Maryland (2‑6) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Washington (5‑3) vs Penn St. (4‑4) |
0 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Penn St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (2‑6) vs Michigan (5‑3) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iowa (6‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (6‑2) |
0 | Iowa Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||