The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Wisconsin (5‑6) vs Minnesota (6‑5) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | 54% | 41% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 27% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa (7‑4) vs Nebraska (6‑5) |
0 | Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | 35% | 51% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Wins | X | X | X | X | 81% | 9% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (10‑1) vs Purdue (1‑10) |
0 | Indiana Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (5‑6) vs Rutgers (6‑5) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois (8‑3) vs NorthwesternN. Western (4‑7) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | 68% | 32% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | 12% | 43% | 40% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (11‑0) vs Washington (6‑5) |
0 | Oregon Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | 51% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (10‑1) vs Michigan (6‑5) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 54% | 34% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 51% | 35% | 8% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. (10‑1) vs Maryland (4‑7) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | 53% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||