The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (8‑1) vs Minnesota (6‑3) |
0 | Oregon Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (10‑0) vs Wisconsin (3‑6) |
0 | Indiana Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (5‑4) vs Michigan (7‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois (6‑3) vs Maryland (4‑5) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 21% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑6) vs Penn St. (3‑6) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (7‑2) vs Iowa (6‑3) |
0 | USC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (6‑3) vs Purdue (2‑8) |
0 | Washington Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (9‑0) vs UCLA (3‑6) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||